Half Season Review 2022/23

We’ve reached the end of January. I’ll be discussing how our season has gone so far and giving a brief transfer window roundup. Are we on target to win all of our remaining competitions? Are we doing better or worse than last season? If first you want to get a look at our pre-season squad build then check it out here.

League

epljan23.png

As you can see, we’re sitting 3rd. We’re still scoring more goals than any other team and have the second best defense. We are not as dominant as we were last season. Or are we?

We are far and away the best team at creating chances and also at shots on target. Obviously creating chances hasn’t been a weakness, its that we haven’t taken full advantage of these chances. One reason for this might be the diluted return of Alexandre Lacazette.lacajan23.png

While for the previous 3 seasons he’s been giving us a goal a game, this season his return has dropped slightly, closer to 2 in 3. At age 31, this might be the first signs of a decline from our legendary talisman.

eplschedjan23.png

As you can see, the only very disappointing result there is the lost game to West Brom.

Upon closer inspection, we only truly deserved to lose one match – away to Man United at Old Trafford. Every other draw or loss we created more clear cut chances than the opposition. This tells me the tactic is still working, still worth persisting with, and the only thing letting us down is the personnel. If we can continue to create the chances that we are, we will be very unlucky not to defend our league title.

Champions League

ecljan23.png

In the Champions League we cruised through our group. 6 wins from 6 games scoring 23 goals. This has earned us a first knockout round tie versus AC Milan whom we knocked out in the group stages last season. No real shock exits here. Juventus got knocked out of a group that also contained Bayern, Man United and Celtic. And Napoli got knocked out of a group that contained Liverpool, Dortmund and Br∅ndby IF.

FA Cup

facupjan23.png

After an easy third round tie, we faced Man City in the fourth round, disposing of them 3-1. Man United, Tottenham and Liverpool still remain in the Cup.

Carabao Cup

carabaojan23.png

The Carabao Cup isn’t of importance to our board, and I used it to give unregistered league players games, and to get games into lower squad level players or players needing match fitness. Man United proved to be too strong for our second stringers, deservedly winning.

January Transfer Window

Two notable additions were made, as well as one notable subtraction.

Marco Asensio was transfer listed at Monaco for €69m, and with our struggles to finish chances, it made sense to acquire a 4.5 star player with phenomenal finishing and technical attributes to supplant Lacazette in the shadow striker role as he declines.

Maximiliano is a well balanced midfielder that was available from Vasco da Gama for €17.5m and can immediately play a role as a roaming playmaker or deeplying playmaker. I immediately set him to re-train in the enganche role to improve his versatility for the team.

kalabatoeve

Marko Kalaba joined us as an 18 year old from Partizan for a paltry fee of €250k and slotted straight into the first team squad. He didn’t develop a great deal from when we signed him and, while not terrible, wasn’t setting the world on fire. We would have been dummies turning down that kind of money for a guy who’s value at the start of the season was €17.5m. Pure moneyball move that.

The Final Turn

Heading into the home stretch of the season, I’m optimistic we’ve got the tactic and personnel to bring home some silverware. Maybe we won’t be setting as many records as last season, but we might still come home with a bang. Stay tuned to see if we can win a famous treble!

A Summer of Tough Decisions

After reaching the final of the Champions League, and winning the league, we know our 4-2-4 strikerless tactic (with our backup 4-3-3 strikerless tactic) works. Going into the season, I like to think that its up to the rest of the competition to ask themselves “how do we stop them?”. This post will be taking a look at our main transfer dealings and the makeup of our first team squad. If you want to catch up on our previous season’s success, check it out here.

Transfers

We’ll start with the incoming transfers to the first team squad because that’s a very brief list.

Simón Villaseñor bought for an absolute steal from Chivas in Mexico. We activated his €10.25m release clause and that was that. Not exactly a position of need, more like an opportunistic signing. He’ll be getting plenty of first team football regardless.

villasenor.png

Now, I was a little lax in taking screen shots of incoming offers for our players that I rejected so I’ll just give a quick summary of the interest that was knocked back. Man Utd came in for Rob Holding as they seem to do every window. However this time it was only one bid and he didn’t kick up a fuss like he normally does. Likewise, Liverpool are always sniffing around Alex Iwobi and after his excellent finish to the season I had no reason to accept offers at value. Arthur was the subject of persistent offers from PSG, Real Madrid and Monaco. The highest bid was €114m. Considering there are players consistently moving to those top clubs for €130m or more in my save, I couldn’t justify sending one of the world’s best all around midfielders out for that price tag.

Now for the players that did leave. Club captain Nabil Fekir requested a transfer and was sold to Real Madrid for €57m up front, possibly rising to €90m. I wasn’t exactly thrilled with this sum. I would’ve wanted €120m+ but I’m not going to keep a player who doesn’t want to be at our club. Not great news, but it opens up opportunities for Claudio Tellerín to prove himself in the shadow striker role when Lacazette is rested. Fekir gave us 157 first team appearances for 44 goals, 44 assists with an average rating of 7.33.

That’s the only first teamer sold, so Kieran Tierney was promoted to club captain and Lacazette was made vice captain. The following players were loaned out:

Dimitrije Simic (GK) to Napoli. With the arrival of Villaseñor, he didn’t figure to get much football so he’s off to Italy to get a season of first team football under his belt. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

simic.png

Pablo Da Luz (DRLC) to Stoke. Still down the pecking order at centre back so he’s off for another year of development. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

da Luz.png

Yasin Yildizhan (D/WBR) to Man City. This is one I wanted to include in the squad but couldn’t due to squad registration rules. Wages paid, €200k monthly fee.

yildizhan.png

Bugrahan Uyanik (DR,DM,MC) to PSG. Another I wanted to use in the squad but couldn’t because of squad registration rules. Wages paid, €220k monthly fee.

uyanik.png

Rickard Waltersson (DRC, MC) to Bayern. Also still down the pecking order at centre back. Wages paid, €220k monthly fee.

Waltersson.png

Andrew Short (DM, MC, AMRC) to Leicester. Arsenal youth product yet to gain any serious first team football. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

short.png

Radojko Kostic (DM, MC) to América. Another victim of our glut of midfielders. First loan since joining the club so the regular first team football should really help. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

kostic.png

Reiss Nelson (MRL, AMRLC) to Sevilla. Would be third or fourth choice on either wing and has never had an extended run in the first team. Would definitely have a place in the squad based on his home grown status but I felt this was necessary to see if there was more left in his development. Wages paid, €250k monthly fee.

nelson.png

Maikel Daniel (MC, AMLC) to Lyon. Not quite ready yet. Wages paid, €220k monthly fee.

daniel.png

Johan de Bruin (AMRL, ST) to AC Milan. Not gonna get a lot of match time behind Lacazette and Tellerín just yet. Needs more development. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

de bruin.png

Marvin Kras (AMLC, ST) to Milan. Same situation as de Bruin. Wages paid, no monthly fee.

kras.png

Squad Build

Now to the players that will be helping us (hopefully) achieve our goals this season.

Goalkeeper

Andriy Lunin, Simón Villaseñor. Both 4 stars. Lunin’s style is shot stopper while Villaseñor’s style is distributor. I figure I’ll use Villaseñor at home, Lunin away and pick whoever has the best form for the big matches.

 

Right Back

Héctor Bellerín, Ivano Mosti. Bellerín is 3.5 stars and Mosti is 3 with greater potential. I’d go so far as to say that Mosti was more consistent last season while Bellerín’s best contributed far more in the final third.

 

Left Back

Kieran Tierney, Nick Howard. Club captain Tierney (4 stars) will start most matches ahead of youth product Howard, unless his risk assessment is high.

 

Centre Back

Matthijs de Ligt, Dayot Upamecano, Rob Holding, Sebastián Flores. de Ligt and Upamecano will continue their partnership in the centre of defence. Holding will be first rotational choice, but Flores is sure to get plenty of games as well.

 

Central Midfield

Arthur, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Aaron Ramsey, Fábio Pires, Alexis Coronel, Adrián Sánchez. Arthur and Kondogbia will continue to be my first choice pairing in central midfield. Ramsey will be Arthur’s first backup in the roaming playmaker role, followed by Pires who will also see time as a deep lying playmaker. Sánchez will split time between the enganche role and the deep lying playmaker role. Coronel will get time backing up the deep lying playmaker. Sánchez, Pires and Coronel have decent defensive capabilities so might see time in the anchorman role in our 4-3-3 tactic, but ideally that will be filled by Kondogbia.

 

Left Wing

Rodrygo, Alex Iwobi. These two will split time based on form basically. Both have proven very productive in the inside forward role. Iwobi will also see time in the enganche role. Rodrygo might get an occasional run as a raumdeuter.

 

Attacking Midfield

Alexandre Lacazette, Mesut Özil, Martin Halsman, Claudio Tellerín. Lacazette and Tellerín will get most of the games in the shadow striker and enganche roles. Tellerín will get time anywhere across the front four. He has an opportunity this season to make himself an invaluable member of the squad. Halsman should get plenty of run across the front four. Özil will get a few games backing up here and there in the last year of his contract as I weigh up whether or not to extend.

 

Right Wing

Frank Grim, Renzo Baldanza, Marko Kalaba, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Grim will be first choice here. Baldanza had an excellent year on loan at Porto last season so he’ll be given plenty of opportunity to prove himself. Kalaba and Aubameyang might not see much game time. Auba is in the last year of his contract and most likely won’t be renewed considering his declining athleticism and not offering much else in the way of technical ability.

 

The Fringe

There were two players I couldn’t find homes for and both rejected a move to Ligue 1 with Auxerre. Juan Carlos Vargas and Ángel de la Cruz. Both will get a few runs in the Carabao Cup and if we get any lower division opponents in the FA Cup.

 

 

So that’s it. Having already lost the Community Shield on penalties to Man Utd, my goal of sweeping all the trophies is already dead. So we aim to sweep what’s left and we’re off to a good start in the league with three wins from three games including wins against Liverpool, and against Man Utd with 10 men. My next post will be a half way update and a January transfer window round up I think, unless something extraordinary happens.

If you got this far, please feel free to comment, share and follow me on Twitter.

 

An Accidental Masterstroke

Its pre-season 2021/2022. After a few years of using an attacking 4-2-3-1 to get the most out of Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, I decided to try a different method to milk the remaining years of Mesut Özil’s career. With his declining mobility, I envisioned him in an enganche role, and a whir of movement around him. I had a wealth of attacking options in Lacazette, Aubameyang, the Brazilian Rodrygo (best €10.75m ever spent), Nabil Fekir, Alex Iwobi, Reiss Nelson and three promising regens: Marko Kalaba, Claudio Tellerín and Martin Halsman.

I don’t know why, but I decided to experiment with a strikerless formation for the first time in my life. I initially set up in an attacking, very fluid 4-2-4. After a couple of games in pre-season, I decided the pressing wasn’t as aggressive as I liked and switched to an overload mentality – also a first. The result was like a eureka moment. After a not so impressive 3-0 win over Atlético Nacional, we demolished Bilbao 9-0 and Zaragoza 12-0.

4-2-4 strikerless.png

 

As mentioned, the idea behind this formation was to get the best out of Özil’s aging legs. But in the two games against Bilbao and Zaragoza it was Martin Halsman who stood out in the enganche role. His ability to win the ball in the air caused all sorts of problems, with plenty of crosses coming in from the wingers and full backs. With back to back hat-tricks, I had a new starting enganche.

The early results were promising. We somewhat luckily beat Man United 3-0 in the Community Shield with Lacazette scoring twice and Halsman once. We then went on to beat Bournemouth 5-2, Huddersfield 4-1, Newcastle 4-2 and Wolves 3-0. Lacazette had scored 7 in 4, including 4 against Bournemouth, and Halsman 5, including a hat-trick against Wolves. We were creating an abundance of clear cut chances and overwhelming teams with our intensity. It was impressive… but not exactly the stiffest of competition.

Enter Bayern Munich. It was the first game of our Champions League group stage at Allianz Arena. We lost 4-3. It was apparent that we had weaknesses in our tactic. If we turned the ball over in midfield in transition, it was likely to come back at us lightning quick and create a clear chance for the opposition. I was not too deterred. Bayern are strong opposition and it was away. I figured if it was played over two legs we’d score enough at home to go through.

Next we played Derby at Pride Park. Again, we lost 4-3. This time Federico Santander tore us to shreds and it was obvious I needed a solution to teams playing with an attacking mid behind a lone striker. So I created an alternate version of my tactic to counter this specific threat.

4-3-3 strikerless.png

This slight alteration still allowed us to attack in the way we liked, usually via the enganche or pinging balls over the top to the raumdeuter, whilst giving us a little more stability defensively.

I would open matches with the 4-2-4 (even against 4-2-3-1 tactics) and then switch to the 4-3-3 after we opened the scoring. We only lost 5 matches for the rest of the season with this strategy and in every one of those losses we had more clear cut chances than the opposition.

Both formations have the below team instructions, with the only difference being that the 4-3-3 is set to play out of defence.

overloadTI

 

The style of play is frenetic and relentless. We have multiple avenues to goal which allows us to be unpredictable and very difficult to stop. Whilst I alternate between the two tactics, I primarily use the 4-2-4.

tacticsanalysis.png

Below I’ll explain a few of the roles and how they contribute to our attack.

Sweeper Keeper

Even though I have him set to distribute to centre backs (which I change to full backs when facing teams playing with two strikers), he frequently looks to play balls up to the inside forward, enganche or raumdeuter. Occasionally this can be a little frustrating as it doesn’t always come off, and possession is lost. However, when it does come off we immediately have the opposition on the back foot and often a 4 on 4 or even a 4 on 3 situation if one of their full backs is slow getting back.

Ball Playing Defender

I have him set with the ‘dribble more’ player instruction, inspired by Merry Guido and his quarterback role. He will win a lot of balls around the half way line or just below and often send it straight back over the top to one of our attackers. The player I used most in this role was Matthijs de Ligt who had 3 assists, created 7 chances and had 15 key passes in 41 appearances.

Against Man City, de Ligt wins an interception and in one touch puts Lacazette through for the goal.

deligt-laca

Right Full Back

Usually late to join attacks, he will overlap when we are controlling possession on the edge of the box and send in crosses or diagonal balls to the raumdeuter. The player I used most in this role was Héctor Bellerín who had 5 assists, created 13 chances and had 33 key passes in 39 appearances.

Left Wing Back

Frequently bombs forward to support the attack and send in crosses or diagonal balls to the inside forward. The player I used most in this role was Kieran Tierney who had 4 assists, created 10 chances and had 23 key passes in 33 appearances.

Deep Lying Playmaker

The metronome of the midfield. Alternates between playing short passes to open players and longer balls into space for attackers. Rarely takes more than one or two touches. The player I used most in this role was Geoffrey Kondogbia who had 1 assist, created 5 chances and had 37 key passes in 42 appearances.

Roaming Playmaker

Will drive forward with the ball from midfield and always gets into position to be a passing option. Can be on the end of counter attacks for a goal. The player I used most in this role was Arthur who scored 4 goals, had 11 assists, created 32 chances and had 76 key passes in 43 appearances.

Raumdeuter

Constantly looking to get in behind the defence, one of the main beneficiaries of the enganche role. I set the player instruction ‘shoot less’ because I didn’t like how often he was taking shots at a difficult angle when a cross was a better option. I consider speed and off the ball to be the two main attributes for this role, handy if he has a bit of aerial presence. He’ll also send in a lot of crosses, play in the two central attackers and get many chances himself so the better he is technically, the more he should excel. In saying that, I’ve used Aubameyang almost exclusively in this role in his time at the club and he’s been phenomenally productive with not so great technical attributes.

auba.png

Inside Forward

The glue guy. Supports attacks, tracks back, plays in the central attackers and pops up at the far post to win headers. The perfect complementary player to the main attacking weapons. Mostly used Rodrygo in this role who scored 20 and assisted 17. Pretty darn good for a complementary player. Recommend a player with some aerial presence as he’ll get a lot of far post goals if he does.

Shadow Striker

The other main beneficiary of the enganche. Does a bit of everything in attack so definitely recommended to use a well rounded attacker. I converted Lacazette and he’s been phenomenal in the role as his numbers show.

laca.png

He set a new record for average rating in the Prem and had the highest average rating in the Champions League. He also missed 13 matches with a hip injury, so could’ve been even more prolific.

Enganche

The fulcrum around which the rest of the attack is based. He’ll create and score a bunch himself, typically staying within the central channel and only occasionally looking to get behind the defence – but if he does its usually a 1 v 1 with the keeper. As mentioned earlier, I started the season using Halsman in this role until he got injured. Then both Özil and Iwobi had runs dominating in the role.

Iwobi did spend half his time on the left, but all 3 had very impressive seasons statistically.

squadstats.png

As you can see, the squad contributed across the board in creating chances and getting involved in the attack. Individual stats are nice in isolation, but its the results that really matter.

We won the EPL, breaking Aston Villa’s goalscoring record in the process. We held off an equally dominant Man Utd (who we didn’t lose to in 5 games over the course of the season), only winning on the final day with a 4-1 home win over Leicester. Some of the highlights along the way were a 6-1 victory at home to West Brom, 3-0 at home to Man U, 5-0 at home to Tottenham, 6-0 at home to West Ham, 4-1 at home to Man City, 7-0 revenge win at home to Derby, 7-1 home victory over Chelsea, and a 7-0 home victory over Everton. Our only losses were away to Derby, Chelsea and Southampton.

epl22.png

We also broke Barcelona’s goalscoring record in the Champions League, scoring 35 en route to the final versus Man City. We entered the game without Lacazette, the increasingly important Tellerín and Tierney all to injury. Rodrygo and Iwobi had just returned from their own injury layoffs. We lost 2-0 despite winning the CCC count 5-4, Fekir missing 2 and Rodrygo missing 3. In the end, their attack featuring Paulo Dybala, Bernardo Silva, Julian Brandt and super sub Mauro Icardi was more ruthless.

eclfinal

It was a disappointing end to a fantastic season. I could not have been happier with my first strikerless season. I’ll be aiming to sweep all competitions next year. And will be very disappointed if we don’t come away with any silverware at all. My aim going forward will be to win at least 2 competitions a year.

If you got this far, thank you so much for reading. If you enjoyed please share or if you have any feedback hit me up on Twitter.

Download

4-2-4

4-3-3